War in Ukraine: Will Russia lose 103,000 troops by the end of 2022?
34
201
670
resolved Dec 28
Resolved
YES

Ukraine's Armed Forces estimate Russia's losses daily, which is published by Kyiv Independent.

This market will resolve based on these estimations as of January 1, 2023 - or the nearest available date.

https://www.instagram.com/kyivindependent_official/

past numbers:

related:

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predicted YES

We passed 103k @Tomek K resolve this market like you did for the 100k one already.

predicted YES

Putin is responsible for all the people who died in this war.

predicted NO
bought Ṁ200 of YES

2022-12-19. Even assuming a short Christmas truce, this only needs 420/day (2 day truce) or 380/day (1 day truce).

predicted YES

2022-12-16, 382 per day

predicted YES

2022-12-20, 342.7 per day, 3770 total

predicted YES

2022-12-22, 260 per day, 2600 total

predicted YES

2012-12-26, 400 total

predicted NO
bought Ṁ10 of YES

Average daily loss of 432 to achieve this. Methinks likely.

bought Ṁ15 of YES

@XComhghall You saying this puts things into perspective for me I actually forgot it was actual people dying 😢

predicted YES

@JamesDGamer I was not sympathizing with Russian soldiers. I think it is just to use force against invaders. The good ones probably have surrendered already.

predicted YES

@XComhghall I meant it from a human prespective I doubt all those soldiers were there because they wanted to.