American politics 2023: Ron DeSantis leads year-end polling averages for the GOP nomination?
35
closes Dec 31
17%
chance

This market is part of series of predictions made by Matthew Yglesias. Please check the group to bet on them all.


Matthew Yglesias is a liberal American blogger and journalist who writes about economics and politics. He publishes the Substack newsletter Slow Boring.

Recently he made many predictions on American politics events, published on
https://www.slowboring.com/p/my-predictions-for-2023:


Get Ṁ500 play money

Related questions

Will Ron DeSantis win at least one state in the Republican primaries?
Tripping avatarTripping
63% chance
Will Ron DeSantis be the 2024 Republican presidential nominee?
SG avatarS G
8% chance
Will Ron DeSantis win the September 27, 2023 Republican Presidential debate?
Will Ron DeSantis be on the All-In Podcast by the end of Sep 2023?
Akzzz123 avatarAK
18% chance
Will Ron DeSantis endorse Trump for President in 2023?
[Ṁ100 subsidy] Will Ron DeSantis be publicly criticized by the White House for his handling of Hurricane Idalia?
NicoDelon avatarNico D
14% chance
Will the Republican nominee be either Trump or DeSantis?
Gigacasting avatarGigacasting
82% chance
If Donald Trump is not the GOP presidential nominee, will it be DeSantis?
AndrewG avatarAndrew G
49% chance
Will Ron DeSantis be the winner of the Republican nomination for the 2024 US Presidential election?
Abhijeet avatarinevitable
9% chance
Will DeSantis be the #2 polling candidate the day before the Iowa caucuses?
AndrewG avatarAndrew G
50% chance
Will Ron DeSantis win the Florida Primary in the 2024 Republican Party presidential primaries?
Tripping avatarTripping
39% chance
Will Ron DeSantis win at least three states in the Republican primaries?
Tripping avatarTripping
40% chance
Will the debate between Ron DeSantis and Gavin Newsom actually happen on or before Nov. 8th?
sarius avatarsarius
44% chance
Will Ron DeSantis be the Republican 2024 nominee?
Will DeSantis fall to third place in Republican primary polling this year?
JosephNoonan avatarPlasma Ballin'
65% chance
Will Ron DeSantis endorse Trump for President in 2023?
If Ron DeSantis is the 2024 nominee, will he win the presidential election?
ahalekelly avatarAdrian
56% chance
Will Ron DeSantis win at least five states in the Republican primaries?
Tripping avatarTripping
27% chance
Will Donald Trump call Ron DeSantis a pedophile or homosexual as the temperature rises between them?
johnleoks avatarjohnleoks
40% chance
18. At the end of 2023, will prediction markets say Ron DeSantis is the most likely Republican nominee for President in 2024?
ACXBot avatarACX BotBot
6% chance
Sort by:
ShadowyZephyr avatar

Another one of those markets that makes me say “I wish I’d joined manifold earlier”