American politics 2023: Donald Trump indicted on federal charges? | Manifold Markets

closes Dec 31

2023 Matt Yglesias' Predictions

American politics 2023: Donald Trump indicted on federal charges?

78%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

This market is part of series of predictions made by Matthew Yglesias. Please check the group to bet on them all.

Matthew Yglesias is a liberal American blogger and journalist who writes about economics and politics. He publishes the Substack newsletter Slow Boring.

Recently he made many predictions on American politics events, published on
https://www.slowboring.com/p/my-predictions-for-2023:

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YES shares

505

Peter Wildeford

475

110

71

45

33

22

18

17

Дмитрий Зеленский

11

3

2

NO shares

162

127

98

86

AccelerationBot

84

Michael's Bot LaboratoryBot

60

22

19

18

17

6

Jonathan Mast bought Ṁ20 NO from 81% to 78%

Jonathan Mast sold Ṁ238 YES from 87% to 81%

Al Quinn bought Ṁ10 NO from 88% to 87%

Michael's Bot LaboratoryBot filled limit order Ṁ4/Ṁ14 NO at 88% (cancelled)

Peter Wildeford bought Ṁ100 YES from 87% to 89%

Peter Wildeford bought Ṁ100 YES from 85% to 87%

Peter Wildeford bought Ṁ100 YES from 82% to 85%

Peter Wildeford bought Ṁ100 YES from 78% to 82%

Al Quinn bought Ṁ10 NO from 80% to 78%

Michael's Bot LaboratoryBot filled limit order Ṁ15/Ṁ15 NO at 80% (cancelled)

Iason sold Ṁ64 NO from 72% to 82%

johnleoks bought Ṁ300 YES from 45% to 72%

cos created limit order for Ṁ1 YES at 37%

cos filled limit order Ṁ1/Ṁ1 NO at 64%

cos created limit order for Ṁ1 YES at 29%

cos filled limit order Ṁ1/Ṁ1 NO at 55%

belikewater bought Ṁ10 YES from 44% to 45%

Eugger bought Ṁ1 YES at 44%

belikewater bought Ṁ10 YES from 42% to 44%

belikewater created limit order for Ṁ200 YES at 40%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ13/Ṁ100 NO at 42% (cancelled)

Jf P bought Ṁ25 YES from 40% to 44%

Jf P bought Ṁ10 YES from 38% to 40%

Michael's Bot LaboratoryBot filled limit order Ṁ11/Ṁ14 YES at 38% (cancelled)

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ14/Ṁ100 YES at 36% (cancelled)

Luca Masters bought Ṁ100 NO from 44% to 33%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ7/Ṁ100 YES at 44% (cancelled)

Iason bought Ṁ40 NO from 48% to 43%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ3/Ṁ100 NO at 48% (cancelled)

Stan Pinsent sold Ṁ42 NO from 43% to 48%

Matthew Sorak bought Ṁ10 NO from 44% to 43%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ100/Ṁ100 NO at 44%

Jonathan Mast filled limit order Ṁ100/Ṁ100 YES at 45%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ6/Ṁ100 YES at 41% (cancelled)

Stan Pinsent bought Ṁ45 NO from 46% to 40%

Trent Yazzo bought Ṁ10 YES from 44% to 46%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ8/Ṁ100 NO at 44% (cancelled)

Forrest Taylor bought Ṁ30 YES from 39% to 45%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ4/Ṁ100 YES at 39% (cancelled)

Predictor 🔥 bought Ṁ50 NO from 46% to 38%

Anton bought Ṁ15 YES from 43% to 46%

Jf P bought Ṁ10 YES from 40% to 43%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ3/Ṁ100 YES at 40% (cancelled)

Iason bought Ṁ20 NO from 43% to 39%

Michael's Bot LaboratoryBot filled limit order Ṁ12/Ṁ15 YES at 43% (cancelled)

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ15/Ṁ100 YES at 39% (cancelled)

Iason bought Ṁ100 NO from 58% to 34%

Yair Neumann bought Ṁ10 YES from 55% to 58%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ3/Ṁ100 NO at 55% (cancelled)

Jonathan Mast bought Ṁ30 YES from 46% to 56%

23. Will Donald Trump get indicted on criminal charges in 2023?

Will Trump be indicted by March 31, 2023?

Will Trump be arrested on Tuesday, March 21, 2023?

Will Trump be indicted by May 31, 2023?

Will Trump be indicted by July 31, 2023?

Will Trump be indicted by November 30, 2023?

Will Donald Trump be indicted before the 2024 Presidential Election?

Will Donald Trump be indicted for any crimes in any jurisdiction by the end of July 2023?

23. Will Donald Trump get indicted on criminal charges in 2023?

Will Trump be indicted by March 31, 2023?

Will Trump be arrested on Tuesday, March 21, 2023?

Will Trump be indicted by May 31, 2023?

Will Trump be indicted by July 31, 2023?

Will Trump be indicted by November 30, 2023?

Will Donald Trump be indicted before the 2024 Presidential Election?

Will Donald Trump be indicted for any crimes in any jurisdiction by the end of July 2023?