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MANIFOLD
2026 FIFA World Cup ⚽ Golden Boot (top scorer)
224
Ṁ1.6kṀ110k
resolved Jul 19
100%99.3%
Kylian Mbappe
0.0%
Harry Kane
0.0%
Erling Haaland
0.0%
Michael Olise
0.0%
Ousmane Dembele
0.2%
Lionel Messi
0.0%
Vinicius Junior
0.0%
Jude Bellingham
0.2%
Epstein
0.2%Other

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bought Ṁ1 YES

fuck Mbappe

@BennyWang2dz5 lol why you mad, with your negative all time profit

bought Ṁ20 YES

only a 3% chance that Messi scores 2? Am I misreading something?

sold Ṁ142 YES

@JoeandSeth Mbappe also got an assist, so even if Messi scores twice, they'd be tied on assists. And then it goes to fewest minutes played, and that's looking better for Mbappe.

@Jen6382 gotcha, didn't notice the assist. thanks

bought Ṁ2 YES

@Jen6382 didn’t Messi get like 12 assists?

@MachiNi they're tied on assists rn but mbappe has the penalty goal and Messi doesnt. So he'd need 2 goals and then one more something to win - and iirc spain giving up 3 in the final is already single digit percent.

@JoeandSeth I didn’t realize Mbappé got as many assists.

opened a Ṁ100 YES at 37% order

@itsTomekK @bens Messi is just up by 1 assist before the Finals. If Mbappe playing full 90-120 mins this is more like a coinflip for me at least. 3./4. place can have lot of goals supporting him even more...

Can someone explain why Messi hasn’t clinched it?

@bens oh waaaait the forking 3rd place match lmao I’m an idiot

@bens that is so janky