This market will resolve to YES, if according to the United Nations Office for Outer Space Affairs (UNOOSA), there are more than 20,000 objects launched into outer space before the end of 2024.
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@DanMan314 Number circled is a total launched whenever. 2023 will end with total around 17626 and 2023 number around 2917. So 2024 launched objects would have to fall by ~16% for it not to be true.
@ChristopherRandles Right, like I said I think the second interpretation of the market being about the cumulative launched objects is more reasonable. Just looking for confirmation of that from Tomek.
@itsTomekK Not sure I have a great suggestion, I just misread the title at first and think others might too. Maybe
2024: "Will the number of objects launched into outer space reach 20,000"?