Will someone engineer a virus to wipe out over 50% of the North American pigeon population by EOY 2035?
Basic
3
Ṁ652035
27%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will at least 100,000 Americans die of bird flu in 2025?
4% chance
Will there be a "large-scale bird flu outbreak" (100+ human confirmed H5N1 cases) in the US by the end of 2025?
91% chance
Will there be an avian flu pandemic before 2026?
23% chance
Will an engineered virus cause a pandemic before 2035?
29% chance
Will there be a 1m+ bird flu outbreak in humans in the US by the end of 2025?
8% chance
Will there be a new large-scale virus that infects more than 100,000,000 unique people before 2030?
48% chance
Will there be any lockdowns covering > 30% of the US before 2035? (they can be bio or AI or terrorism related)
55% chance
Will we figure out how to CRISPR/Fanzor genes into an exotic bird (any bird that isn't ducks/chickens) by EOY 2025
46% chance
Will an Avian Influenza Virus in Humans be Declared a PHEIC before 2030? [Metaculus]
50% chance
Will the common pigeon (Columba livia) become extinct in the current century?
45% chance