Will Peter thiel win the nobel prize
8
170Ṁ1200
2070
4%
chance

Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!
Sort by:

Oh god no, but I don’t really want to tie my manna up here for the next 46 years.

People are also trading

Will Peter Thiel ever be elected President?
4% chance
Will Peter Thiel ever be a candidate for President of the United States?
6% chance
Will Peter thiel be charged with a felony by 2026.
7% chance
Will Peter Thiel run for any elected government office this decade?
9% chance
Will Peter Thiel receive the Presidential Medal of Freedom by EOY2060?
31% chance
Will Peter Thiel be charged with any felony crime before 2030?
6% chance
Peter Thiel or a candidate who has previously worked for Thiel wins Republican nomination for President before 2033.
31% chance
Will a thiel fellow win a nobel prize by 2055
37% chance
Will Peter Thiel show up on the Joe Rogan Experience by 2025?
99% chance
Will Elon Musk die before Peter Thiel?
58% chance
© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms + Mana-only Terms•Privacy•Rules