Will Joe Biden be regularly using a wheelchair by EOY 2027?
Will Joe Biden be regularly using a wheelchair by EOY 2027?
12
190Ṁ4212028
34%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Why use play money?Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
People are also trading
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Why use play money?Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
Related questions
Will Joe Biden be regularly using a wheelchair by EOY2028?
28% chance
Will Joe Biden be photographed using a mobility aid (e.g. a cane) before 2029?
69% chance
Will Joe Biden enter an assisted living situation before the end of 2025?
8% chance
Will Trump issue an EO or get congress to pass laws repealing Wheelchair Ramps requirements by the end of 2025?
16% chance
Wil Joe Biden still be able to drive by EOY2029?
9% chance
Will Joe Biden die of prostate cancer by EOY 2027?
64% chance
Will Joe Biden walk unaided to the helicopter on the South Lawn on his last day in office?
92% chance
Will Joe Biden still be alive by 2026?
79% chance
Will Biden be hospitalized for 5 consecutive days anytime before the end of 2028?
95% chance
Does Biden have a neurological disorder in the years 2020-2024?
69% chance