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Will a reliable and general household robot be developed before January 1st, 2030?
48% chance
Will a robot be created that is capable of passing Steve Wozniak's "The Coffee Test" before 2029?
72% chance
When will the first robot be made that can go into a near-arbitrary kitchen and make a cup of tea?
2028
Will a robot be created that is capable of passing Steve Wozniak's "The Coffee Test" before 2027?
20% chance
Will a robot be created that is capable of passing Steve Wozniak's "The Coffee Test" before 2035?
92% chance
Will a robot be created that is capable of passing Steve Wozniak's "The Coffee Test" before 2030?
80% chance
Will a robot be created that is capable of passing Steve Wozniak's "The Coffee Test" before 2028?
27% chance
Will a robot be created that is capable of passing Steve Wozniak's "The Coffee Test" before 2040?
92% chance
In what year will a robot be created that is capable of passing Steve Wozniak's "The Coffee Test"?
2030
Will a robot capable of passing both the Coffee Test and a strong, adversarial Turing test be created before 2100?
94% chance