Will a girl be discovered to have a world-defining crush on Jose Luis Ricon by 2025?
3
90Ṁ472026
35%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
People are also trading
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
Related questions
Will Jose Luis Ricon ever have another crush by 2030?
59% chance
Will Jose Luis Ricon turn a girl down in 2024?
74% chance
Will Jose Luis Ricon be cured of all #girlissues by 2027?
60% chance
Will Jose Luis Ricon make a girl ROFL (literally) so hard she'll almost die in 2024?
39% chance
Will someone [in 2025] tell Jose Luis Ricon that he is genuinely their FAVORITE person in the world?
47% chance
Will Jose Luis Ricon enter into a relationship with Claire Wang by 2027?
10% chance
Will Jose Luis Ricon break anyone's heart in 2024?
15% chance
Will someone publicly self-identify as "the female version of Jose Luis Ricon" by 2028?
20% chance
Will Jose Luis Ricon and Sanje Horah @sanjehorah end up dating by EOY2030?
29% chance
Will Jose Luis Ricon have a Twitter alt by 2025?
12% chance