Mexico gang violence gets worse by mid March?

Ṁ1kṀ848

Mar 15

31%

chance

ALL

Resolves to my personal judgement if any unexpected happens, but will primarily use ACLED data (https://acleddata.com/platform/explorer) to determine resolution. Will compare numbers from February 23rd against March 15th.

Market context

Get

1,000

to start trading!

2 Comments

11 Holders

18 Trades

Sort by:

what kinds of sources will you follow?

@marvingardens I think I'll use this: https://acleddata.com/platform/explorer - I'll get the numbers for feb 23rd and then check them against march 15

Explorer

The ACLED Explorer allows you to filter and summarize data from the past year. Country profiles show data at the subnational level, as well as trends based on number of events, fatalities, and civilians exposed to violence.

People are also trading

Another American cartel leader killed/captured before end of march?

-9% 1d27% chance

How many Mexican states will have a worse travel advisory status before April?

8.5

Mexico City (CDMX) above "Exercise increased caution" travel advisory by mid march?

-6% 1d44% chance

Will 15+ US citizens die in Mexico in the next few weeks as a result of cartels

POLL

People are also trading

Related questions