Will there be a serious attack on a Supreme Court justice or their family before the end of 2022
51
382Ṁ4102
resolved Jan 3
Resolved
NO
By "serious attack", I mean either harm or get stopped in the process of trying to harm any of the justices or their family. Basically, a follow up to the guy with a knife near Brett Kavanaugh's house except them being more successful.
Politics
Law & Order
SCOTUS
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What are the base rates 12% seems too high. Implies a 24% year likelyhood.
Does it have to be more successful, or the same amount of successful? What if they are apprehended 50 feet farther away from the Justice’s home compared to last time?
We need to have a "Report for being an assassination market" here
@JoyVoid We have tags #notanassassinationmarket, #death, and #dontmovethismarket -- not quite the same, but you can add it to the lists.
this is really deep into the assasination market territory
Base rate: low

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