MANIFOLD
Will Idaho House Bill 752 (A trans bathroom bill) be enacted into law?
1
Ṁ1kṀ500
Jul 1
69%
chance

The bill will resolve YES if it passes the Idaho Senate and is signed by Governor Brad Little. To become law, Idaho bills must pass the House and Senate, and avoid the governor's veto. The Idaho House of Representatives has already voted to pass House Bill 752, which criminalizes any individual who knowingly enters a bathroom or changing room of the opposite sex. Resolution will be determined by checking the Idaho Legislature's official bill tracking system for the final status of HB 752 and the Governor's official action.

Background

House Bill 752 would create criminal misdemeanor and felony charges for people who "knowingly and willfully" enter a bathroom or changing room designated for the opposite sex, with some exceptions. Someone convicted under the law could face up to a year in jail. Upon a second offense, the charge would become a felony and carry a five-year prison sentence. Exceptions to the law include workers cleaning the bathroom, those assisting a young or disabled family member, those providing medical assistance and those providing coaching during an athletic event.

The House passed the bill on a 54-15 vote. Six Republicans joined the House's nine Democrats in opposing the bill. If the bill is approved by the state Senate and signed by the governor, it would represent one of the strongest restrictions on transgender people in the country.

Considerations

Both the Idaho Fraternal Order of Police and Idaho Chiefs of Police Association oppose the bill because determining someone's biological sex would be difficult for law enforcement called to the scene of an incident. The bill distinguishes itself from Florida's bathroom ban, which contains a "duty to depart"—a provision that allows a transgender person to avoid criminal charges if they leave after being asked to do so by a government employee. No such provision exists in the Idaho bill, meaning a transgender person could be arrested on the spot simply for being present in a restroom. Republicans won a 61-9 majority in the House and a 29-6 majority in the Senate. At the start of the 2026 session, Idaho was one of 19 state legislatures where Republicans had a veto-proof supermajority in both chambers.

This description was generated by AI.

Market context
Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!
© Manifold Markets, Inc.TermsPrivacy