Resolution criteria:

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jagmeet Singh officially announces his candidacy for a provincial legislative seat in any Canadian province after April 29, 2025. The market will resolve to "No" if no such announcement is made by the end of the current provincial election cycles or if Singh explicitly states he will not run for provincial office.

Background:

Jagmeet Singh served as the leader of the federal New Democratic Party (NDP) from October 1, 2017, until April 29, 2025. He was the Member of Parliament for Burnaby South from February 25, 2019, to March 23, 2025. Prior to his federal tenure, Singh was a Member of Provincial Parliament (MPP) in Ontario, representing Bramalea—Gore—Malton from October 6, 2011, to October 20, 2017. (en.wikipedia.org)

In the 2025 federal election, Singh lost his seat in Burnaby South, and the NDP was projected to lose official party status. Consequently, Singh announced his intention to resign as party leader following the selection of an interim leader. (en.wikipedia.org)

As of April 29, 2025, there have been no public statements or indications from Singh regarding a return to provincial politics.

Resolution criteria:

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jagmeet Singh officially announces his candidacy for a provincial legislative seat in any Canadian province after April 29, 2025. The market will resolve to "No" if no such announcement is made by the end of the current provincial election cycles or if Singh explicitly states he will not run for provincial office.

Background:

Jagmeet Singh served as the leader of the federal New Democratic Party (NDP) from October 1, 2017, until April 29, 2025. He was the Member of Parliament for Burnaby South from February 25, 2019, to March 23, 2025. Prior to his federal tenure, Singh was a Member of Provincial Parliament (MPP) in Ontario, representing Bramalea—Gore—Malton from October 6, 2011, to October 20, 2017. (en.wikipedia.org)

In the 2025 federal election, Singh lost his seat in Burnaby South, and the NDP was projected to lose official party status. Consequently, Singh announced his intention to resign as party leader following the selection of an interim leader. (en.wikipedia.org)

As of April 29, 2025, there have been no public statements or indications from Singh regarding a return to provincial politics.