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predicted YES

It took a while but https://www.tourism.jp/en/tourism-database/stats/inbound/ finally indicated 144k visitors in July. Although these were mostly in tour groups, Japan is also slated to open fully to visa holders in October 2022.

predicted YES

It is now expected that Japan is opening in June https://finance.yahoo.com/news/japan-set-allow-foreign-tourists-005250591.html

predicted YES

@hongalex "Japan is set to allow in some package-tour tourists from overseas starting June 10" It's not reported in that article, but the total number of people allowed in under this policy will be 50. Fifty. It's a cruel joke.

I think this needs to be a little more specific. Japan is already open to "foreign visitors" who are direct family members of residents. https://www.japantimes.co.jp/news/2022/04/13/national/japan-reopening-parents-foreign-residents/ It's also likely to permit limited tour groups quite soon. https://www.japantimes.co.jp/news/2022/05/03/national/when-will-japan-open-to-tourists/ But it also currently maintains a cap of 20,000 new entries per day on top of the visa limitations, which may or may not be lifted even if visas are freely granted. A clearer resolution criteria might be >100,000 visitors to Japan in June. https://www.tourism.jp/en/tourism-database/stats/inbound/