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MANIFOLD
Will Beff Jezos' follower growth decelerate before September 2024?
15
Ṁ270Ṁ841
resolved Sep 2
Resolved
YES

Social Blade projection predicts that Beff Jezos should reach 158.000 followers before September 1st 2024. On that day, I will look at his profile and resolve the question as:

YES if he doesn't have 158.000 followers.

NO if he does.

YES if his account is hidden or deleted.
N/A if X social isn't functional.

If he changes his handle, I'll judge the profile with the new handle.

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I'm at 50 %. The current projection is pretty crazy but Social Blade can only do linear or exponential projections and I think we should expect an S-curve. I'd expect Beff's content may currently appeal to a pool of ~130k people, I can't find any ano/pseudonymous accounts with little fame outside Twitter that would have gained more. But if the X AI discourse pool will be 20 % bigger in September, one should expect 156k followers.
(I am trading my own markets but I also have a track record of losing most money on them :))