Will Donald Trump die before election day (November 5)?
60
1kṀ18kresolved Nov 5
Resolved
NO1H
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This will resolve YES if Donald Trump is pronounced dead at or before 11:59pm EST.
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bought Ṁ5 NO
JD Vance has 0.4% chance of being elected, so this should be closer to 1%.
https://manifold.markets/jack/who-will-win-the-2024-us-presidenti-8c1c8b2f8964