Will Vladimir Putin win Russia's 2024 presidential election with 90% or more of the vote?
️ PoliticsWorld️ WarsπŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦πŸ‡·πŸ‡Ί Ukraine-Russia warπŸ‡·πŸ‡Ί RussiaElectionsElections: WorldVladimir Putin
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NO

This is a variation of cshunter's question but with the threshold set to 90%.

Russia is set to hold a presidential election on 17 March 2024. According to Wikipedia, Vladimir Putin's share of the vote in previous elections were as follows:

  • 2018: 77.53%

  • 2012: 64.35%

  • 2008: N/A (Putin was Vice President; his ally, Dmitry Medvedev ran for President; Medvedev received 71.25% of the vote)

  • 2004: 71.91%

  • 2000: 53.44%

Will Putin's share of the vote in the 2024 election be 90% or more, as recorded on Wikipedia's election page?

In the unlikely event of a second round of voting, the second round's percentage will be used.

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@Joshua hi. Here is a closed account which can't resolve the question.

@creator please resolve NO, it was "only" 87%.

12% is way too low. People really think after Navaly he isn't going to doctor some numbers to seem completely in control?

@redacted I think it's going to be 80-85% most likely, although it's possible to be 90%+ β€” depends mainly on their desire to forge such numbers.

@42irrationalist Yeah, my only point is that 12% is mispricing (obviously imo) and rating this too low of an outcome. I tend to agree, with my estimate around 85%

@redacted really it's more of "a single overconfident No-holder" situation

Levada Center polling:

https://www.levada.ru/en/

There is no Vice President of Russia, Putin was Prime Minister during Medvedev's term.

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