Will the sun rise tomorrow, August 9, 2023?
35
590Ṁ21k
resolved Aug 10
Resolved
NO

To stay unbiased, I will not bet in this market.

In order to decide the fate of this question, a Monte Carlo method will be employed. We will generate 1,000 random latitudes and longitudes, and check to see whether the sun indeed rose at all 1,000 points. Random seeds from the fairlyrandom bot and Python source code will be provided tomorrow so you can replicate the experiment yourself.

Market will resolve N/A if I cannot find an adequate API to determine whether the sun rose xor if the sun explodes.

Edit: The script works! We are using https://sunrise-sunset.org/api and the script itself is preserved along with its chosen random seed 12345 at https://gist.github.com/hiAndrewQuinn/48a80663cd34c6b3a52e52b72155b59e

Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!

🏅 Top traders

#NameTotal profit
1Ṁ891
2Ṁ667
3Ṁ154
4Ṁ126
5Ṁ112
© Manifold Markets, Inc.TermsPrivacy