Check the game here: https://lichess.org/GF9YULQP.
The game so far: 1. e4 e5 2. Bc4 Nf6 3. Nc3 Nc6 4. Nf3 Nxe4 5. Nxe4 d5 6. Bd3 dxe4 7. Rg1 Bf5 8. Bb5 exf3
The other candidate move is 9. Qe2
The conditional market for the other move is here:
If the value (averaged over the last 4 hours before close) of this market is higher than in the other market, then this market resolves PROB to the score after move 10. Otherwise, it resolves N/A. The score after move 10 is the value (averaged over the last 4 hours) of the conditional market of the winning move in move 10.
Note that when the game ends, the score will be 1.0 - #moves x 0.0004 if white wins, 0.5 - #moves x 0.0002 if its a draw, or 0.0 if we lose.
More details for the overall game here:
https://manifold.markets/harfe/will-white-win-in-manifold-plays-ch
1,000
3.00@deagol Your position here seems fairly profitable! You bought cheap YES early on before I started buying up more, and clearly I'm going to want my YES shares to be worth more on the next market.
@jack yes I know, tried my best. Fun but a bit too stressful for my taste, thought I’d go zero balance at one point.