Check the game here: https://lichess.org/GF9YULQP.
The game so far: 1. e4 e5 2. Bc4 Nf6 3. Nc3 Nc6 4. Nf3 Nxe4 5. Nxe4 d5 6. Bd3 dxe4 7. Rg1 Bf5
The other candidate moves are 8. g4 and 8. Bc4
The conditional markets for the other moves are here:
If the value (averaged over the last 4 hours before close) of this market is higher than in the other markets, then this market resolves PROB to the score after move 9. Otherwise, it resolves N/A. The score after move 9 is the value (averaged over the last 4 hours) of the conditional market of the winning move in move 9.
Note that when the game ends, the score will be 1.0 - #moves x 0.0004 if white wins, 0.5 - #moves x 0.0002 if its a draw, or 0.0 if we lose.
More details for the overall game here:
https://manifold.markets/harfe/will-white-win-in-manifold-plays-ch
1,000
3.00@jack good think i dumped last minute. Congrats to team NO. We’ll have to see where we all stand for next one, but as I said I will just watch, maybe a small bet here or there.
@deagol Only good for you to have sold above 65%, every share sold past that was a loss :)
@jack I thought I could send them to you at 67% but that backstop got removed last few minutes. I gotta manage my position size way more than you, given our balances, so still decided to dump and keep 500 (still more than what I was comfortable with) despite no backstop.
@deagol Makes sense, I'll plan to leave some more limit orders at a moderate price at the end