Check the game here: https://lichess.org/GF9YULQP.

The game so far: 1. e4 e5 2. Bc4 Nf6 3. Nc3 Nc6 4. Nf3 Nxe4 5. Nxe4 d5 6. Bd3 dxe4 7. Rg1 Bf5 8. Bb5 exf3 9. Bxc6+ bxc6 10. Qxf3 Qd7 11. Qc3 f6 12. g4 Bxg4

There are no other candidate moves. So 13. Rxg4 will be played

This market resolves PROB to the score after move 14. The score after move 14 is the value (averaged over the last 4 hours) of the conditional market of the winning move in move 14.

Note that when the game ends, the score will be 1.0 - #moves x 0.0004 if white wins, 0.5 - #moves x 0.0002 if its a draw, or 0.0 if we lose.

More details for the overall game here:

https://manifold.markets/harfe/will-white-win-in-manifold-plays-ch

Apr 2, 9:50pm: [Manifold Plays Chess 3] If we play 13. Rxg4, what is the score after move 14? → [Manifold Plays Chess 3] We will play 13. Rxg4, what is the score after move 14?