Will Hilo Airport (ITO) offer frequent direct passenger flights to the U.S. mainland in 2024?
3
1.8kṀ5634
resolved Jan 1
Resolved
NO

An almost-every-day flight from Hilo to Los Angeles (and vice versa) started in 2010 but was discontinued in early 2023. Will frequent service to LAX or another mainland airport resume in 2024?

Terms

  • "U.S. mainland" is any airport in the contiguous 48 U.S. states.

  • "Frequent" is departing flights on at least three separate days of the same week. A "day" shall be a calendar day in the Hawaiian time zone.

  • "Direct flight" is a flight that makes no stops between Hilo and its first mainland destination.

  • "Passenger flight" is a flight that a typical U.S. citizen can book over the internet for a one-way cost of less than $2,000. (Past flights were much cheaper than that; I'm just trying to exclude private jet service.)

  • "2024" shall be the year ending 2024-12-31 23:59 Hawaiian time.

Resolutions

  • I may resolve this market to YES early if there is an official announcement from an established carrier that they will begin offering flights starting by 2024-12-25 that match the above terms. The announcement must be creditable in my personal opinion.

  • NO if, at no point during the year, do I find flights matching the above terms.

  • NO if it's officially announced that Hilo Airport will be shut down for the rest of the year or permanently.

  • I will avoid resolving to N/A or PROB unless something very unexpected happens.

I will bet in this market.

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