![](/_next/image?url=https%3A%2F%2Ffirebasestorage.googleapis.com%2Fv0%2Fb%2Fmantic-markets.appspot.com%2Fo%2Fdream%252F08Q6_3obGT.png%3Falt%3Dmedia%26token%3D06207192-52a7-492d-8248-9dc1e00fc303&w=3840&q=75)
Will an Atlas Fellow become a Thiel Fellow by 2027?
Basic
14
Ṁ1.1k2028
70%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Get Ṁ600 play money
Related questions
Related questions
Will 2022 Atlas Fellows launch startups worth >$100 million by the end of 2024?
52% chance
Will any Atlas Fellow have a liquid net worth >100M by 2030?
54% chance
Will anyone from the Summer Program for Applied Rationality (SPARC) program win a Thiel Fellowship by 2026?
48% chance
Will ≥20 Atlas Fellows be actively working on ambitious projects aimed at large-scale problems? (M2500 subsidy)
40% chance
Will Andrew Gao become a Thiel fellow?
34% chance
Will a regular of Arcadia House (Isaak Freeman's) win the Thiel Fellowship in 2024, 2025, or 2026?
75% chance
Will Alia Abbas become a Thiel Fellow?
23% chance
Will an Atlas Fellow launch an AGI startup worth >$1 million by 2030?
92% chance
Will Alishba Imran become a Thiel Fellow?
38% chance
Will one of the July 2023 Atlas Fellows Become A billionaire by the age of 30?
6% chance