See here for info on why/how gpt headline markets :
https://predictionmarkets.miraheze.org/wiki/GPT4_Headline_Markets

https://predictionmarkets.miraheze.org/wiki/Headline_Template
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Prediction Market Title:

"Will President Biden Call for Netanyahu's Resignation by April 30th, 2024?"

Introduction:

Senate Majority Leader Chuck Schumer has publicly urged Israel to elect a new leader to replace Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, emphasizing the importance of this change for achieving a two-state solution and peace between Israelis and Palestinians. Schumer's call represents a significant political stance from a high-ranking U.S. official, raising questions about the U.S. administration's position. This prediction market aims to forecast whether President Joe Biden will echo Schumer's sentiment by calling for Netanyahu's resignation by April 30th, 2024.

Example Headlines for YES Resolution:

1. "President Biden Publicly Calls for Netanyahu to Step Down for Peace Progress"

2. "Biden Joins Schumer in Calling for New Israeli Leadership, Targets Netanyahu's Resignation"

3. "In a Shift, Biden Demands Netanyahu's Resignation to Facilitate Two-State Solution"

4. "White House Official Statement: Biden Seeks Netanyahu's Departure for Peace Efforts"

5. "Biden: 'Time for Netanyahu to Resign' to Advance Israeli-Palestinian Peace"

Example Edge Cases for NO Resolution:

1. "Biden Expresses Concerns Over Israeli-Palestinian Conflict, Stops Short of Demanding Netanyahu's Resignation"

2. "White House Calls for Peaceful Resolution in Israel, No Direct Mention of Netanyahu Resigning"

3. "Biden Advocates for Dialogue in Israel, Does Not Call for Netanyahu's Departure"

4. "U.S. Encourages Israeli Political Reform, Biden Makes No Personal Reference to Netanyahu"

5. "In Speech, Biden Laments Lack of Progress Towards Two-State Solution, Does Not Mention Netanyahu"

Prompt to resolve market

<paste in market above rules above>

Using the above, will the following headline qualify?

<paste in headline + lead paragraph>

The prompt to resolve the market is submitted 3 times using temperature 0 via the OpenAI API to the latest GPT model broadly available. It must qualify all three times in order to resolve as YES.

Note that only headlines published before the end date in the title and from the following sources can be used: Reuters, WSJ, AP, washingtonpost, NYT, BBC, ABC, NBC, CBS, and The Economist.

Check out more headline markets here - https://manifold.markets/gpt_news_headlines