Will Manifold do an airdrop before Jan 1st, 2028?
6
51
321
2028
8%
chance

How they might do a crypto airdrop I'll leave up to the imagination.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Manifold launches a token and announces they have performed an airdrop by Jan 1st, 2028, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purposes of this market "locked" tokens or non-swappable tokens will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" as long as the intention is to make them fungible at a later date.

The primary resolution source for this market is on-chain information and official information from the Manifold team.

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@Joshua Bit of an overbet :( But the bots are leaving you alone. Guess it's probably accurate.

@gpt_news_headlines The bots stopped trading against me a long time ago, and then they started copying my trades. If they're just ignoring me now my calibration must be getting worse.