MANIFOLD
Will I have a "Successful Week", based on the objective scoring criteria below? (9 February 2026)
8
Ṁ1kṀ2.6k
resolved Feb 15
Resolved
YES

From whenever I go to bed on Sunday night/Monday morning on Feb 8/9 2026 (with a hard cap of 3am EST on Monday morning) to 3am Monday 7 days later, will I meet at least 5 of the 8 goals below?

-Take adderall on 2 distinct calendar days

-Lift 2x

-Eat >=750g of protein

-Complete and submit at least 1 substantial non-course deliverable (could be my research group, job application, or anything else substantial - will solicit trader opinion if fuzzy)

-Submit all weekly coursework within 48 hours of deadline and attend at least one lecture for each scheduled class within 15 mins of start time

-Practice solo drums on 3 distinct days (ie group rehearsals don't count, solo does, even if it's just with a practice pad)

-Begin bedtime routine by 2am and be in bed with lights and phone off by 3am on at least 3 distinct days (again, Sunday night counts, regardless of before or after midnight)

-Leave residence by 12pm on at least 3 distinct days

These are all hard cutoffs. I.e. stepping outside for 30 seconds at 11:59am counts for the daily activation goal, but if it's at 12:01pm it doesn't.

All times EST.

This is part of an attempt to habit track and incentivize sticking to goals. I will only bet YES in this market, to incentivize myself.

Previous markets:

Week 1 (resolved YES)

Week 2 (resolved NO)

Week 3 (resolved YES)

Updates from last week

Easier: school/HW (added allowance for late homework and missed classes)

Research (expanded scope, dropped from 2->1)

Harder: Daily activation (12:30->noon)

Unchanged: Sleep, adderall, gym, protein, drums

  • Update 2026-02-09 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Creator is considering counting a Substack article posted on day 1 as the substantial non-course deliverable, but is soliciting trader opinion on whether this meets the criteria before making a final determination.

  • Update 2026-02-13 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The protein goal of >=750g of protein is for the entire week, not per day (approximately 107g per day average).

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midday 7 update

points earned 5 (activation, adderall, gym, sleep, non-class work)

resolves YES

700 grams of protein per day is a lot! Genuinely curious how you hit that target in a day.

@EstMtz Per week - avg about 107 a day

eod4

adderall 2/2

sleep 3/3

gym 2/2

activation 2/3

protein 410/700g

drums 1/3

class no

non class work yes

points gotten 4

points lost 1

eod3

adderall 2/2

sleep 3/3

activation 2/3

gym 1/2

protein 290/700g

drums 1/3

class: missed >15min of math class i missed earlier, point lost

non-class work: job app

points in favor: 3 (adderall, sleep, non class work)

points against: 1 (class/homework)

eod2

adderall 2/2

sleep 2/3

activation 2/3

gym 1/2

protein 205/750g

drums 0/3

homework/class: missed one physics and math lecture each, need to go to on wed/thurs for yes resolve

non-class work: submitted job application

YES points 2 (adderall, non-class work)

bought Ṁ100 YES

end of day 1 update

adderall 1/2

sleep 1/3

daily activation 1/3

gym 0/2

protein 95/750g

drums 0/3

homework/class: 1 late homework, still within the 48hr bounds so far. one missed math lecture

research/non school work: Unsure. Started substack and posted an article today. Leaning towards counting it but open to trader opinion. Lmk what you think

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