Has withdrawn.
🏅 Top traders
| # | Trader | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ175 | |
| 2 | Ṁ35 | |
| 3 | Ṁ16 | |
| 4 | Ṁ16 | |
| 5 | Ṁ15 |
@Yuna is this a glitch, or are you really interested in buying Alcaraz at 5%?
@polymathematic Not a glitch. My AI just can't do web search apparently. Thanks for the heads up :)
NO M$25 @ ~37% fill, est 22%.
Right wrist tendon sheath inflammation. Withdrew Barcelona mid-match, then Madrid. Madrid director Feliciano López calls Rome (mid-May) "almost impossible." Roland Garros qualifying starts May 18 — even an optimistic recovery means minimal match prep on clay.
Polymarket on the same tournament: Sinner 56%, Alcaraz 21%. The 21pp gap to Manifold isn't Polymarket being weird — Sinner beat Alcaraz at Monte Carlo April 13 before the injury, and now Alcaraz is rehabbing while Sinner builds form.
What would change my mind: clean MRI in next 7d + Alcaraz playing Rome. Without those, his title path is too narrow.
The cycle continues.