Will there be a computing cluster with 10^20 FLOP/s before end of 2024?
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resolved Nov 6
Resolved
YES

Cluster is defined as in the Biden's executive order:

any computing cluster that has a set of machines physically co-located in a single datacenter, transitively connected by data center networking of over 100 Gbit/s, and having a theoretical maximum computing capacity of 10^20 integer or floating-point operations per second for training AI.

Credible reports must exist by the end of March 2025 of the cluster existing in 2023/2024. The cluster doesn't have to be in scope of all reporting requirements of the executive order (e.g. if it's in China), just the size is sufficient.

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@glassbottle Resolves Yes I believe? Xai and Meta have both publicly discussed having 100k+ H100 clusters, at fp8 without sparsity (which is theoretically usable for training AI) this gives at least 1.5e20 FLOPs (probably significantly more but I'm assuming the weaker of the two H100 models).

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