The trouble is that buying blocks will only have value if people see it, and people will only see it if the site is popular, and it will only be popular if people are buying blocks. For most people the immediate paywall will make them feel like they're being scammed and instantly move on.

At the moment the price structure seems to be $1 per block, very slightly decreasing for extremely large bulk purchases. If you want there to be non-negligible probability of it taking off while still potentially making money, I would recommend a structure more like:

• First block free

• Second block $0.01

• Third block $0.10

• Fourth block $1

• Fifth block $10

• etc.

@TheAllMemeingEye I like the idea of increasing price but I don't think it needs to go beyond $1 on the high end.

@TheAllMemeingEye i think youll be happier with the new structure. You can buy more for less. Even against purchasing Mana, the math checks out better.

@Eliza making meaningful change now costs peanuts across the board.

@ghomood you appear to have kept roughly the same structure, just cut to 1/3. What I was getting at was that a much more effective strategy is to lure people in with a freebie, then get them to cross the inhibition to paying with a negligible price purchase, then start gradually ramping up the price, otherwise everyone will go 'screw this I ain't paying money' and leave

@ghomood How many blocks are there total!??!

@Eliza I made a few trades but I am a little concerned about the potential impact of insider block breaking. Can you confirm that you will not "comp" any broken blocks that are actually just yourself or someone you know doing it for no real transfer of value?

@Eliza this is a secret. But there are layers to the cube and breaks register over time. Once the block is fully broken, there will be a reveal of something and every name that ever broke a block or multiples of blocks will have their name listed there for everyone to see.

@Eliza i confirm that i will not manipulate the block. Ever and at all. But i cannot confirm that someone else won’t. This is the risk and fun. Imagine if a market maker made this on polymarket or kalshi. Do you win more by making sure 10 blocks are broken? 100? Or by hoping no one breaks anything?

Did anyone try it yet? I am trying to look at the box to see if any blocks are removed but it's really big so I'm having a hard time finding the spots where blocks are broken.

@Eliza It looks like currently there is only one broken block, which was broken prior to this market being posted (and thus shouldn’t count for this market).

Seems like a ripoff of the same thing that Peter Molyneux did like a decade ago.

Curiosity: What's Inside the Cube? - Wikipedia

@TiredCliche peter molyneux didn’t have prediction markets and the popularity of digital purchases on his side.

Ad?

@herzog I agree that it appears to be an ad, but under the current community guidelines, it's allowed to promote things as long as it's not spam. I don't think we need to do anything in this case.

Also, to be clear, this is not a Manifold-endorsed ad, this is just a user-created market.

@Gabrielle yes it’s fine! Not endorsed

I think they might have had more success with this idea if the first cube was 2x2 and they showed a cool ending, then it increased, instead of starting with what looks like a million cubes before the reveal

Maybe some people will buy some cubes to manipulate this market though — I wish them luck!

@Gen i actually tried it this way but the people i showed it to didn’t like that there wasn’t a big reveal very quick. Starting with a large layer of blocks shows the user that this is gonna go on for a while. There’s a stat called mystery reveal date which might be fun to see change (and create markets on).