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MANIFOLD
Did Tetraspace use foreign labor to sandbag her 70lb fly-chest attempt?
8
Ṁ2kṀ441
May 1
44%
chance

Did Tetraspace only fail her 70 lb chest-fly attempt because she personally hired a foreigner for £12 to make the 6-7 gesture in the mirror to get her to laugh and fail her attempt so she could honestly say she didn't sandbag this market after insider trading the NO position?
https://manifold.markets/Tetraspace/if-tetraspace-tries-a-70-lb-chest-f
Resolves YES if she comments "Undubitably" (with the quote marks otherwise invalid) under this market before end of April else NO.

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Tetra sat on her Razer Enki X gaming chair staring at her monitor. She refreshed the page again, but the market was still only trading at 44%. It irked her to no end that seemingly we the people only thought her as trustworthy as a coin flip. But the worst part was, they were probably right. After all if she admitted her crime the next prediction market would trade even lower than 44% and what could be worse than that? In times of crisis she only had one recourse, so unerringly. She got up from her chair, despite the small angular momentum this movement transferred, it did not visibly rotate like a dampened harmonic oscillator whose dampening was very big. Kneeling down she quickly got back up because her knees hurt 

("Ouchi" in Japan generally refers to the historic post town Ouchi-juku in Fukushima, famous for its Edo-period thatched-roof houses. It also refers to a powerful feudal clan (14th–16th century) and the "Ouchi Gari" judo/BJJ technique. ). With all her strength she dragged the IKEA BÄSTBOLL gaming chair out from the corner, it had been her preferred choice of seating, but alas its comfort turned out as lackluster as causal decision theory (rational). If it were not for her moment of crisis (see above) she would not have used it at all. When it stood in the middle of her Bed/Gaming/twitter-room she nodded to herself and piled up a 200cmx200cmx20cm pile of Blahajs, finally she got out a madoka puppet (not a stuffed toy an actual plastic puppet with a windup string coming from her neck looking like a noose when extended). Very carefully she put her on top of the stuffed animals. Jumping on the BÄSTBOLL it only spun a little before coming to a halt. The padding was soft enough that no bruises would be left on her legflesh and so she closed her hands in prayer to the highest force of goodness on this planet. “Oh market forces that let Undertale supply meet Undertale demand. I am in a time of crisis (et. all). I need you to send me a sign, should I remain pure and virtuous and cool, or not? Wait, that didn’t sound like a hard….”


Before she could finish her thought the subspace of the basis of her sample complexity shifted laterally. “Oh my god! "It's computer scientist Wei Dai!” Tetra felt a bit confused because she hadn’t been the one to say it. Wei Dai meanwhile made stunned faces at his own appearance and he looked down at her (metaphorically). “Has the efficient market made you appear here?” He scoffed “Foolish girl, can’t you see that a market can only ever be relatively efficient, therefore to me it is the inefficient market that made me appear.” This was logical. “Wei Dai you were right, please forgive me.” He stroked his beard (metaphorically). “Don’t fret, don't fret, after all there is something we should discuss is there not?” Timeskip (but backwards). “I can’t believe this how could they deduce that much from so little, I have already checked that the foreign labor did not leak the intel so what kinda genius could have made this market.” Timeskip (forwards). “It was I that made the market!” Wei Dai said grinning contemptuously. She was furious, “Don’t get so full of yourself, you don’t know anything about me.” But his mouth was moving faster than hers, “Don’t I? Madoka, Invincible, Twitter, Undertale.” It was a stunningly good guess, “But still that doesn’t prove anything!” With a final smirk, “Homestuck.” Something cracked, because Wei Dai had accidentally stepped on her Madoka puppet, “Oh shit.” He slipped and fell on the Blahaj pile, in doing so they had unwittingly provided shelter for the enemy and would be incinerated the following morning. But at this point Tetra didn’t care anymore, she didn’t cry only because she had been trained to withstand great pain (Groal the Great runback). “You,” she said in the darkest tone of voice she could manage, “are truly the worst, I don’t care if you invented Updateless decision theory, I want you to leave my country!” Lightning, thunder, and rainbows struck down on the Earth, truly she had never said anything so terrible. Getting up wearily Wei (I call him Wei, we’re close like that) rotated his shoulder a few times. “But Tetra, doesn’t our materially abundant society imply that you can get another doll just like this on Amazon?” She spun around at that, and found herself grasping empty air. The sensation felt totally foreign, as she wasn’t used to being spatially removed from her keyboard by more than a foot. Very quickly she jumped up on her feet, down the chair, up on the other chair and started shopping. The relief washed over her in an awesome wave, “Wei Dai, they actually have the exact Doll!” He nodded, coming over to look over her shoulder. “See if they have any Nier Automata figurines.” Tetra stopped typing, almost stunned at the request, “Of course they do, it’s Amazon!” They gave a hearty chuckle at that.

@georgehQzR GOOD post. I can confirm this happened

Very good market, subsidising to get more accurate results on this important market

@georgehQzR you have the funny option to withdraw her liquidity

@SavioMak I don't steal from trans women, only from Walgreens

bought Ṁ50 NO

Unhinged market but pretty funny tbh