Will Finland be the happiest country for the 9th year in a row?
6
1kṀ168
Mar 19
57%
chance

See: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/World_Happiness_Report

(Below generated by AI)

Resolution criteria

Finland will resolve YES if it ranks #1 on the World Happiness Report 2026, which would be its ninth consecutive year at the top. The World Happiness Report is released annually on March 20 (International Day of Happiness). Resolution will be determined by the official rankings published at https://www.worldhappiness.report/.

Background

Finland has topped the rankings since 2018, and secured the top spot for the eighth consecutive year according to the World Happiness Report 2025. The ranking is based on a single life evaluation question, the Cantril Ladder, using data collected from over 140 countries by the Gallup World Poll. Respondents rate their own life on a scale of zero to ten, with zero being the worst possible life and ten being the best possible life.

Considerations

Relatively modest changes in a national average can lead to a large shift in rank, as illustrated by 95% confidence regions of more than 25 ranks for several countries in the middle of the global list. However, there is still a lot of year-to-year consistency in the way people rate their lives in different countries, and since rankings are based on a three-year average there is information carried forward from one year to the next.

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