This market resolves YES if Apple announces a U.S. starting price strictly above $1,300 for the base-storage iPhone 18 Pro.

It resolves NO if the starting price is $1,300 or less.

Use Apple’s standard U.S. retail price at launch, before taxes, trade-ins, carrier discounts, financing, or promotions. Primary sources are Apple Newsroom and the Apple Store.

This market applies only to the iPhone 18 Pro, not the Pro Max, standard iPhone 18, or any Fold/Ultra model.

Background

The iPhone 17 Pro launched at $1,099. Analysts expect higher component costs for the iPhone 18 Pro, including its 2nm chip, RAM, and storage. Current estimates range from roughly $1,199 to $1,399, making whether Apple prices it above $1,300 uncertain.