Will Kim Ju-ae become the next leader of North Korea after Kim Jong-un?
12
210Ṁ256
2123
55%
chance

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kim_Ju-ae

Yes if multiple credible media outlets report that Kim Ju-ae has become the leader or de facto leader of North Korea after Kim Jong-un.

No if multiple credibe media outlets report that someone other than Kim Ju-ae has become the leader or de facto leader of North Korea after Kim Jong-un.

Resolve N/A otherwise.

Politics
Korean Peninsula Conflict
Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!

People are also trading

Sort by:
bought Ṁ30 NO

I'm betting on Kim Yo-jong

How does the market resolve in case of Korea reunification?

@GustavoMafra N/A if reunification happens before succession.

@footgun How does the market resolve if NK adopts a similar thing to a monarchy with a different head of government? In this way the two conditions stated in the description could be met simultaneously

@GustavoMafra Usually in this case one is symbolic while the other has executive power. Here the leader is referring to the latter.

People are also trading

Will North Korea announce a formal regime succession plan by the end of 2025?
4% chance
What year will Kim Jong-Un cease being Supreme Leader of North Korea?
Will Kim Jong Un be the leader of North Korea at the end of 2031?
+13% 1d63% chance
Will Kim Jong Un be the leader of North Korea at the end of 2025?
97% chance
Will Kim Jong Un be the leader of North Korea at the end of 2039?
-5% 1d45% chance
When will Kim Jong Un die?
-11% 1d41% chance
Will Kim Jong Un be the leader of North Korea at the end of 2032?
+5% 1d55% chance
Who will be the next leader of North Korea?
Will Kim Jong Un be the leader of North Korea at the end of 2029?
58% chance
Will Kim Jong Un be the leader of North Korea at the end of 2033?
52% chance
© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms•Privacy