Will @Joshua feel good at the end of October?
Basic
26
Ṁ3433
resolved Nov 1
Resolved as
96%

Recently, NYT wrote an article on Manifold, featuring @Joshua

They managed to get Joshua on record as saying

Mr. Fleming estimates he makes dozens of bets a week, on topics including politics and gaming. He likes earning Mana, which he can then donate to charity.

But mostly, he said, he likes being proved right.

“There’s a competitive aspect to it,” he said.

“I feel good when I win.”

So, will Joshua feel good at the end of October?

Resolution guidelines:

  1. By end of October is meant the end of the current league season.

  2. Only manifold-related goodness will be counted.

  3. Resolves to the subjective evaluation of Joshua as to what % this market should be resolved (0 and 100 are NO and YES respectively).

Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S3.00
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predicted YES

Resolves to 96%!

Oh my god 🤣

@Joshua #1 or bust eh

@Stralor taking this market DOWN

I'm taking the speaker market as enough of of a win that this will be at least 90%, even if I don't win Masters. It's only 100% if I beat Domer though, and I don't think that's happening.

predicted YES

@Joshua are you feeling good 👀👀👀

predicted YES

Hmmm let's codify this to 96% if I end the season at #1 in masters, 98% if I have a higher score than acceleration, and 100% if I have a higher score than domer.

predicted YES

@Joshua what does score mean

predicted YES

Mana Earned at lock in.

predicted YES
predicted NO

@Joshua @firstuserhere idkkkk 98% sounds like Joshua does not feel good

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