Will AI wipe out humanity before the year 2024?
66
331
Ṁ15KṀ2.1K
resolved Jan 1
Resolved
NO1D
1W
1M
ALL
If humanity is still around on Jan 1, 2024, then this market resolves to NO. Otherwise resolves to YES.
Only 6 months remain, will it all end?
Get Ṁ200 play money
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predicted YES
5.5 months remain
sold Ṁ24 of NO
this can’t ever be lower than the one for next month, selling some of my NOs
https://manifold.markets/firstuserhere/will-ai-wipe-out-humanity-before-th-8a4174c96fff?r=ZGVhZ29s
predicted NO
@deagol there have been dramatic changes in the front month probability, adjust your models accordingly
@firstuserhere you know, i have some goals and stuff this year. I'll throw in 500 more of subsidy cuz its important that I know the true probability of doom this year
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