Resolution Criteria

This market resolves YES if the market reaches 15,000 total trades by 11:59 PM UTC on March 15th, 2026. The trade count can be verified through the market's trade history on Manifold Markets. This includes all trades (buys and sells) executed on both YES and NO positions.

Background

Trade volume on prediction markets varies significantly based on market topic, timing, and trader interest. Markets on Manifold typically see higher activity when they address timely events, have clear resolution criteria, and attract attention from active trading communities. The threshold of 15,000 trades represents substantial engagement for a single market.

Considerations

The trade count includes all transactions regardless of size or direction. High-frequency traders and market makers can significantly influence volume. Markets that attract media attention or become trending on the platform tend to see accelerated trading activity.

This description was generated by AI.