Will Bitcoin activate a new soft-fork before the end of 2025?
13
148
Ṁ634Ṁ230
2026
15%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves to YES if a new soft-fork is proposed, implemented in Bitcoin Core, most miners update their software and somehow it is "locked in" by any means the community decides, such that the activation is imminent (even if the actual activation date is in 2026).
Get Ṁ200 play money
Related questions
Will another country follow El Salvador in adopting Bitcoin as legal tender by the end of 2025?
56% chance
Will Bitcoin (BTC) reach $500k before the end of 2030?
48% chance
Will Bitcoin (BTC) reach $100k before the end of 2025?
50% chance
Will Bitcoin undergo a hard fork before 2027?
50% chance
Will Bitcoin hit 100k before Jan 1st 2025?
26% chance
Will any new country adopt Bitcoin as its legal tender by the end of 2024?
32% chance
Will Bitcoin reach $100K USD before the end of 2025?
55% chance
Will Bitcoin dominance reach 60% or higher before 2025?
57% chance
Will Bitcoin surpass $200,000 before the end of 2025?
6% chance
Will stock-to-flow Bitcoin model break before the end of 2025?
41% chance