Fairly straightforward - how many times will shit (excrement) come out of me this October?
MY EXPLICIT DEFINITION OF A SHIT IS AS FOLLOWS:
A session in which I spend time on the toilet and any amount of feces comes out of my anus. If it comes out of my nose or my urethra, that's not a shit. I would also probably have to see a doctor. If I excrete more than one distinct log of shit or even multiple diarrhea flurries without leaving the toilet at any point between them, then that is ONE SHIT. However, if I leave the toilet in between and go elsewhere and then come back and drop another deuce, that's two. The one exception I can think of to my definition here is if I poop my pants - that wouldn't be on the toilet but I would still count it. But this won't happen probably. Unless I get really sick. That would be more of a November thing though
FQA:
Can you use laxatives?
No, unless prescribed by a Doctor.
Are you physically well?
No
What's your average shit count per month?
13.31
How many times did you shit in August and September?
Both were 15.
Why are you making these?
Narcissism
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@draaglom Options labeled as bins but set up as thresholds in the background confused the easily confused AI…
I don't want to invest too much more into this market, but the current total implied probability of 138% is way too high!
@Jasonb @fedor Wait. Wait a second. This market might be broken beyond expectation. I have not run a threshold-mode numeric market before, so I'm not fully sure how this works.
@fedor, press the resolve button. Don't actually resolve anything, but pull up the menu. See if you can checkmark the lower buckets as NO and higher buckets as YES. Is marking them like this possible? If not, this might be an impossible market to resolve.