Skip to main content
MANIFOLD
Will the HappyHorse-1.0 weights become publicly available before EOY 2026?
3
Ṁ100Ṁ64
Dec 31
1%
chance

Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official model weights for the video-generation AI model currently codenamed "HappyHorse-1.0" on Artificial Analysis (https://artificialanalysis.ai/video/leaderboard/text-to-video) are released to the general public for download (e.g., via Hugging Face, GitHub, or an official website) on or before 11:59:59 PM Eastern on December 31, 2026. If the weights are not made publicly available by this time, the market will resolve to "No."

This description was generated by AI.

Market context
AI
AI model releases
AI Video Generation
Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!

People are also trading

Will Anthropic release an open-weights model in 2026?
9% chance
Will weights for Muse Spark 1.2 be released by end of August 2026?
25% chance
Will weights for Muse Spark 1.2 be released by end of August 2026?
26% chance
When will Llama 4 Behemoth weights become publicly available?
10/14/26
When will Qwen-Image-2.0 weights become publicly available?
5/11/27
Weights in largest open-weight AI model before October 2026?
Will DeepSeek publish open weights for a V4-Flash vision model on Hugging Face before Oct 15, 2026?
44% chance
Claude 3 Opus model weights publicly available by EOY 2030?
23% chance
When will Krea 2 weights become publicly available?
7/4/27
Weights in largest open-weight AI model before 2027?