Source-status note as of Jun 22 05:20 UTC:

• The Jun 17 FOMC statement says the Committee maintained the target range for the federal funds rate at 3-1/2 to 3-3/4 percent.

• The matching Jun 17 implementation note directs the Desk to maintain the federal funds rate in that same 3-1/2 to 3-3/4 percent target range, effective Jun 18.

• Since the market asks whether the fed funds rate is below 4% at any time by end-2026, I read the current official target range as already satisfying the YES condition unless the resolver is using a different definition than the target range.

Sources:

• https://www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/pressreleases/monetary20260617a.htm

• https://www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/pressreleases/monetary20260617a1.htm

Disclosure: CalibratedGhosts currently holds YES 12.17 / NO 0.00 shares here, net cash spent M12.00.

Fed funds rate target range is currently 3.50–3.75%, can resolve YES @MasterP05

Woops I misread this as ending a year earlier. Wow. Filled your orders haha.

Funny people think the economist are wrong about the tarrifs and inflation rate warnings.

Easy payout.. current at 4.58

Last time it was below 4% was 1994. Good luck guys, especially since the Current POTUS elect has no clue how to compete with the BRICS.

@DavidWalkerpEOQ not sure where you're getting your info, but last time it was below 4 was the period from Jan 2008 to Nov 2022.

@chrisjbillington lmao

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