Market resolves YES if Verstappen signs a contract to drive for the Mercedes Formula 1 team in 2025 or 2026!

This means Verstappen being under contract with Mercedes in this timeframe. If he, say, only signed for the 2027 season during 2026, the market would resolve NO.

With reported tensions within Red Bull Racing and Lewis Hamilton leaving a vacant seat at a top team by moving to Ferrari, there is some speculation that Verstappen (currently on a long-term contract with Red Bull) is a candidate for this seat.