Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to YES if Rockstar Games or Take-Two Interactive officially announces that the primary console launch of the base game of Grand Theft Auto VI (on PlayStation 5 and/or Xbox Series X/S) has been delayed to a date after November 19, 2026.

This market will resolve to NO if the base game of Grand Theft Auto VI is officially released on PlayStation 5 and/or Xbox Series X/S on or before November 19, 2026.

Notes and Edge Cases:

• The baseline for this market is the scheduled release date of November 19, 2026.

• This market concerns only the primary console release (PlayStation 5 and Xbox Series X/S). Announcements regarding delays specifically for PC ports, unannounced platforms, or the "GTA Online" component will not trigger a YES resolution, provided the base console game still launches on or before November 19, 2026.

• If November 19, 2026 passes and the game has not been released on PlayStation 5 or Xbox Series X/S, the market will resolve to YES even if no formal "delay" announcement was made.

• The primary sources of truth for resolution will be official announcements from the Rockstar Games Newswire or Take-Two Interactive investor relations.

Background

Following its formal reveal in December 2023, Grand Theft Auto VI has faced two major official delays: first from an initial tentative 2025 window to May 26, 2026, and subsequently to its current target of November 19, 2026. While Take-Two Interactive's leadership has re-affirmed that the November 2026 release window is highly secure—with global pre-orders having officially commenced on June 25, 2026—the game's massive scale and historically complex development cycle keep speculation alive regarding potential further shifts into 2027.

This description was generated by AI. Review and verify everything here yourself. You can edit, replace, or delete any part of this description, including the resolution criteria. You do not need to trust the AI output.