Will Eric Drexler ever win a Nobel Prize?
6
Ṁ170Ṁ3112200
13%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves positively immediately upon award, or negatively after the first round of Prizes awarded after his death.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Will Ed Boyden win a Nobel Prize any time in the future?
17% chance
Will Aubrey de Grey ever win a Nobel Prize?
8% chance
Will Michael Levin win a Nobel Prize any time in the future?
48% chance
Will Andrei Linde ever win a Nobel Prize?
17% chance
Will Alan Guth ever win a Nobel Prize?
17% chance
Will Eliezer Yudkowsky ever win a Nobel Prize?
9% chance
Will Matt Kaeberlein win The Nobel Prize in Physiology & Medicine (or Chemistry) by 2065?
17% chance
Will University of North Carolina researcher Bryan Roth win the Nobel Prize for his DREADDs research?
37% chance
Will Wojciech H. Zurek ever win a Nobel Prize?
26% chance
Will someone from FutureHouseSF win a Nobel prize by EOY 2037?
27% chance