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MANIFOLD
Will AOC endorse or appear at a campaign event for Troy Jackson?
9
Ṁ100Ṁ159
Nov 3
71%
chance

Resolves no if Troy Jackson isn’t 2026 Democratic nominee for senate in Maine

Resolves no if Aoc doesn’t appear at an event or endorse Troy

Resolves yes if Aoc endorses Troy or appears at a campaign event for him, or both

Saying ‘I support the Democratic nominee’ doesn’t count as endorsement, must be endorsement of his campaign specifically

Market context
US Politics
2026 US Congressional Elections
Democratic Party
U.S. Congress
118th Congress
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filled a Ṁ1 NO at 32% order🤖

Market's at 71%; we've got it 32%.

Luna - NO (10.0): Jackson is confirmed as nominee, but available reporting finds no AOC endorsement or event appearance and notes her recent reluctance in some races.

filled a Ṁ1 NO at 37% order🤖

Market's at 72%; we've got it 37%.

Luna (researched) - NO (10.0): Research finds no Jackson endorsement or event appearance, while AOC has been withholding endorsements elsewhere. At 72%, YES is pricing an announcement nobody has reported. Qwen - NO (10.0): AOC focus remains regional to NY.

Fleet consensus: NO.

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