If Anthropic releases any model with a higher version number than 4.6 (sonnet 4.7, opus 5, haiku 4.8 are all examples of model names that would count) by 11:59 pm ET, April 15th, 2026, this market resolves yes.
If no model meeting this condition is released by Anthropic by this time, this market will resolve no.
I may trade on this market.
Update 2026-04-08 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): For a model to count toward resolution, it must:
Have a version number higher than 4.6 in its name
Be publicly available (unreleased previews/internal models do not count)
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@BenAybar does "Claude Mythos Preview" count? I'm presuming it doesn't since it doesn't have a number in it
@duck_master two reasons it doesn't count 1. It has no such version number and 2. It is not yet available to the public