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MANIFOLD
Will a Democrat win Montana for President by 2050?
5
Ṁ90Ṁ75
2050
70%
chance

Resolves YES if a Democrat wins Montana in a presidential election before 2050 (in one of the 2024, 2028, 2032, 2036, 2040, 2044, or 2048 elections). Resolves NO if they lose all of them.

If another party displaces the Democrats and they win, I'll still resolve this as NO.

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