Will a Democrat win Utah for President by 2050?
5
90Ṁ1022050
40%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves YES if a Democrat wins Utah in a presidential election before 2050 (in one of the 2024, 2028, 2032, 2036, 2040, 2044, or 2048 elections). Resolves NO if they lose all of them.
If another party displaces the Democrats and they win, I'll still resolve this as NO.
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