Who will win the U.S. House seat for Minnesota’s 1st Congressional District in the November 2026 general election?

Outcomes:
• Brad Finstad (R – incumbent)
• Jake Johnson (DFL – challenger)
• Oliver Morlan (Independent challenger)
• Other (for any certified write-in or late-filing candidate)

Definition of winner: The candidate who receives the most votes in the official certified results of the November 3, 2026 general election for Minnesota’s 1st Congressional District.

Source of truth: Official results published by the Minnesota Secretary of State (or, if unavailable, Associated Press or other widely recognized election authorities).

Time: Resolution will occur after certification, expected December 2026.

Edge cases:
• If the election is postponed, the market will remain open until certification.
• If recounts occur, the market will resolve according to the final certified outcome.
• If a candidate withdraws or is disqualified before the election, their option will still be valid but will resolve “NO” if they do not win.
• If no resolution is possible (e.g., court-ordered rerun without certification), the market may resolve N/A, but every effort will be made to resolve to an actual outcome.