When will the 30 year mortgage interest rates fall below 5%? (United States)
23
Ṁ1kṀ7.1k2027
0.2%
2023
0.4%
2024
1.8%
2025
3%
2026
94%
>2026
Judged by https://www.nerdwallet.com/mortgages/mortgage-rates
(unless a better measure is suggested)
Related Markets:
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Will the Fredie Mac US 30-year fixed-rate average drop below 5.75% before Nov 1, 2026.
4% chance
Will the effective federal funds rate (interest rate) drop to below 1% again in the next 5 years?
8% chance
Mortgage rates higher in 5 years?
78% chance
Will 50-year mortgages be offered by 2029?
24% chance
30 year interest rates greater than 7.5% by EOY 2028
30% chance
Sort by:
This is a linked market; it can't be resolved early.
@jgyou seems like a good historical data source, as the one I listed doesn't have history readily available.
Comment hidden
People are also trading
Related questions
Will the Fredie Mac US 30-year fixed-rate average drop below 5.75% before Nov 1, 2026.
4% chance
Will the effective federal funds rate (interest rate) drop to below 1% again in the next 5 years?
8% chance
Mortgage rates higher in 5 years?
78% chance
Will 50-year mortgages be offered by 2029?
24% chance
30 year interest rates greater than 7.5% by EOY 2028
30% chance